Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 2701.019115 2921.504737 3144.871062 3387.789557 3644.210307 3906.528969 4194.850713
2025-01-19 2256.588935 2576.131578 2912.294507 3291.114134 3704.920703 4142.044711 4637.512168
2025-01-26 2096.016600 2486.655374 2908.673614 3396.028422 3940.825534 4528.647389 5208.353559
2025-02-02 1956.635983 2398.717628 2887.148628 3462.786691 4118.534767 4838.258452 5683.796290
2025-02-09 1803.868824 2279.915701 2816.863862 3461.479961 4208.332581 5040.535797 6031.891523
2025-02-16 1660.526893 2160.151088 2734.732966 3436.423512 4262.071863 5194.736760 6319.669624
2025-02-23 1570.351229 2096.060248 2711.113338 3473.541736 4382.736008 5421.868334 6688.520441
2025-03-02 1469.214958 2011.708216 2657.221313 3469.138999 4449.908165 5583.447470 6979.073494
2025-03-09 1406.143067 1969.883282 2650.861610 3518.448514 4578.329140 5815.226726 7351.276266
2025-03-16 1311.429883 1882.736492 2584.005790 3489.598203 4608.982898 5928.493999 7581.715869
2025-03-23 1272.248829 1864.016430 2600.078366 3561.162258 4760.513214 6185.754818 7984.151229
2025-03-30 1212.613431 1815.288823 2575.427994 3579.452253 4844.805805 6361.023511 8288.135171
2025-04-06 1147.960880 1757.938214 2538.594434 3582.129170 4910.705880 6516.271671 8572.055259
2025-04-13 1044.652858 1643.697758 2423.753321 3481.243057 4843.609056 6506.268381 8653.278628
2025-04-20 1033.077210 1654.167512 2471.960944 3590.556399 5042.437367 6825.288656 9139.701847
2025-04-27 1007.133511 1643.032778 2490.263762 3660.094231 5190.400480 7081.667030 9550.335375
2025-05-04 956.459889 1594.462672 2456.118831 3658.733232 5245.944997 7221.806270 9816.843292
2025-05-11 900.258173 1535.235131 2405.048478 3632.635126 5267.640058 7318.117343 10028.078975
2025-05-18 870.178321 1512.542836 2402.967446 3671.295721 5373.295133 7520.773730 10373.477078
2025-05-25 827.377168 1468.990151 2370.101329 3666.710270 5420.956103 7648.957154 10625.004817
2025-06-01 805.300959 1455.455092 2378.590160 3718.062592 5542.539534 7872.243992 10998.176763
2025-06-08 758.849455 1402.621222 2329.303967 3688.018006 5554.179943 7952.956654 11189.380996
2025-06-15 746.959123 1402.573664 2355.380713 3762.539668 5706.372424 8216.382383 11615.692307